Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.355625 0.421907 0.495951 0.584627 0.687763 0.803756 0.943910
2025-01-12 0.252764 0.336765 0.440783 0.578344 0.754691 0.972302 1.260206
2025-01-19 0.197351 0.286629 0.405901 0.575437 0.808482 1.115563 1.548429
2025-01-26 0.168465 0.262678 0.396598 0.598391 0.891706 1.298825 1.901989
2025-02-02 0.158090 0.261693 0.416813 0.662152 1.035536 1.576254 2.410337
2025-02-09 0.140571 0.246167 0.412150 0.686762 1.122792 1.779255 2.829762
2025-02-16 0.119963 0.221819 0.389583 0.679327 1.158236 1.906119 3.144784
2025-02-23 0.100495 0.195887 0.360252 0.656066 1.164069 1.985331 3.390274
2025-03-02 0.083494 0.171332 0.329445 0.625527 1.152946 2.034142 3.588520
2025-03-09 0.076529 0.164195 0.328065 0.645551 1.229028 2.231499 4.046148
2025-03-16 0.065105 0.146458 0.304719 0.622519 1.225957 2.293316 4.277949
2025-03-23 0.059532 0.139642 0.301056 0.635501 1.288853 2.473977 4.729169
2025-03-30 0.053881 0.132109 0.295670 0.645885 1.350628 2.662850 5.220405
2025-04-06 0.047284 0.121412 0.282463 0.639197 1.379240 2.794517 5.620983
2025-04-13 0.041913 0.112532 0.271736 0.636016 1.413941 2.939850 6.058239
2025-04-20 0.039347 0.109908 0.274258 0.661192 1.508710 3.208222 6.751484
2025-04-27 0.040037 0.115518 0.296064 0.731089 1.703679 3.688990 7.895093
2025-05-04 0.037748 0.113043 0.298713 0.758055 1.809203 3.998507 8.721628
2025-05-11 0.033636 0.104956 0.286810 0.749908 1.836896 4.150887 9.241950
2025-05-18 0.029133 0.094911 0.268604 0.724419 1.822791 4.214327 9.583209
2025-05-25 0.024855 0.084639 0.248251 0.690945 1.786460 4.226624 9.816889
2025-06-01 0.023498 0.082857 0.249927 0.712895 1.882523 4.534056 10.704449
2025-06-08 0.020394 0.075020 0.234066 0.687648 1.862319 4.581895 11.029820